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GBP
Fundamental Analysis
(8th Apr): It seems that the alliance between Theresa May and the labor party still require more time to break the UK deadlock. This Friday is the revised deadline for Brexit. The Brexit crisis shows no signs of being resolved, as Prime Minister May has been unable to push her withdrawal agreement through parliament. Meanwhile, the delay plan was still criticized by some EU and home lawmakers. This means that a hard Brexit, which would hurt the economy, remains a strong possibility.
On the data front, this Wednesday will see the release of March’s GDP data. In February, the economy posted a strong gain of 0.5%, above the estimate of 0.2%. However, with the Brexit turmoil weighing on the economy, the markets are expecting a weak gain of 0.2% in March. We remain cautiously bearish for GDP due to the negative impact of Brexit on U.K.’s investment and manufacturing. Our technical analysis alerts us that GBP could still go up before the drop happens.
Technical Analysis
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USD
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Fundamental Analysis
(8th Apr): USD strengthened on Friday with the March US nonfarm payrolls recovering back to 196K. However, the market was generally surprised on the downside as retail sales and durable goods orders posted declines and missed their forecasts. Nonfarm payrolls came in at 196K, easily beating the estimate of 172K in March. Still, this reading… [/blur][/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row row_type=”row” use_row_as_full_screen_section=”no” type=”full_width” text_align=”left” background_animation=”none” css_animation=””][vc_column][vc_empty_space height=”35px”][vc_row_inner row_type=”row” type=”full_width” use_row_as_full_screen_section_slide=”no” text_align=”left” css_animation=””][vc_column_inner width=”1/5″][/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=”3/5″][vc_separator type=”normal” color=”#b70909″ border_style=””][/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=”1/5″][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_empty_space height=”35px”][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row row_type=”row” use_row_as_full_screen_section=”no” type=”full_width” text_align=”left” background_animation=”none” css_animation=””][vc_column width=”1/5″][/vc_column][vc_column width=”3/5″][kswr_heading head_align=”center” head_subtitle_color=”#333333″ head_title=”ACCESS RESTRICTED” head_title_fsize=”font-size:23px;line-height:2;” head_title_fstyle=”font-family:Inherit;font-weight:700;” head_subtitle_fsize=”font-size:17px;line-height:1.5;” head_subtitle_fstyle=”font-family:Inherit;font-weight:inherit;” head_title_margins=”margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;” head_subtitle_margins=”margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;”]Our comprehensive daily reports covers both technical and fundamental analysis, and are customised to your requirements.
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