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GBP
Fundamental Analysis
(1st Apr): GBP could face pressure after the EU Commission President indicated that the EU’s patience with Brexit could run out and urged the U.K. to reach a conclusion within a few hours or days. This increase the possibility of a hard Brexit, which could put more downside risks to the U.K. economy going forward. The GBP slipped as the Parliament rejected Theresa’s deal for the third time and at the same time rejected all other eight options, leaving Brexit in a deadlock again. The new Brexit deadline is April 12, but it remains uncertain if parliament will change its mind and approve May’s withdrawal deal.
On Monday, the Parliament will take up indicative votes on Brexit proposals as members seek a compromise to break the deadlock. We remain relatively positive on the Brexit progress for this week’s trading since the market has so far taken too much downside risks in recent GBP trading, and any progress towards a “soft Brexit” or “Brexit with a plan” could support the sterling. This is in line with our technical analysis showing more upside before the sterling index reaches its first resistance level.
Technical Analysis
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USD
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Fundamental Analysis
(1st Apr): USD is to see a busy data release week going forward including ISM manufacturing, retail sales and unemployment rate. The data could possibly post upside surprises as the U.S. economy still outperforms compared to other G10. Yet the souring risk appetite is not favoring USD this week. The USD could edge lower amid easing concerns … [/blur][/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row row_type=”row” use_row_as_full_screen_section=”no” type=”full_width” text_align=”left” background_animation=”none” css_animation=””][vc_column][vc_empty_space height=”35px”][vc_row_inner row_type=”row” type=”full_width” use_row_as_full_screen_section_slide=”no” text_align=”left” css_animation=””][vc_column_inner width=”1/5″][/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=”3/5″][vc_separator type=”normal” color=”#b70909″ border_style=””][/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=”1/5″][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_empty_space height=”35px”][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row row_type=”row” use_row_as_full_screen_section=”no” type=”full_width” text_align=”left” background_animation=”none” css_animation=””][vc_column width=”1/5″][/vc_column][vc_column width=”3/5″][kswr_heading head_align=”center” head_subtitle_color=”#333333″ head_title=”ACCESS RESTRICTED” head_title_fsize=”font-size:23px;line-height:2;” head_title_fstyle=”font-family:Inherit;font-weight:700;” head_subtitle_fsize=”font-size:17px;line-height:1.5;” head_subtitle_fstyle=”font-family:Inherit;font-weight:inherit;” head_title_margins=”margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;” head_subtitle_margins=”margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;”]Our comprehensive daily reports covers both technical and fundamental analysis, and are customised to your requirements.
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